关于气候变化是由人类引起的,地质学家的共识是什么?-地江南体育网页版球科学堆栈交换江南电子竞技平台 最近30个来自www.hoelymoley.com 2023 - 04 - 05 - t12:13:35z //www.hoelymoley.com/feeds/question/12637 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/rdf //www.hoelymoley.com/q/12637 9 关于气候变化是由人类引起的,地质学家的共识是什么? titusAdam //www.hoelymoley.com/users/11440 2017 - 11 - 09 - t14:24:14z 2021 - 10 - 19 - t07:49:32z 我对欧洲讨论气候变化的方式感到非常沮丧。我住在荷兰,是荷兰最大的政党之一自由党(PVV)的成员,他们经常否认气候变化,并使用“气候歇斯底里症”等术语。还有“气候变化的宗教”。虽然我不是气候科学家、地质学家或气象学家,但我确实担心气候,原因很简单,大多数专家都担心!我知道共识的确切百分比一直存在争议,共识,根据彭博社共识,根据卫报解释他们的方法,但是,很难说在总体上没有达成共识。< / p >

However, one of the arguments that climate change skeptics use is that the 97% (or whatever percentage you feel is right) consensus among climate scientists is misleading. Misleading, because most climate scientists are meteorologists, and meteorologists tend to have a different view on climate, compared to geologists. The skeptics say that the consensus among geologists is way lower. From what I understand (again I'm no geologist), is that some geologists support an alternative theory to explain climate change that involves plate tectonics.

Question: What is in fact the consensus among geologists about climate change being caused by humans?

Remark: Please excuse me for the elaborate introduction to my question. I don't want to make this a concealed political statement, but it is something that's bothering me. Why would you, as a layman, choose to believe the small minority on such an important issue? I definitely don't think we should ignore or silence climate change skeptics, obviously accepted scientific beliefs have been proven wrong in the past, but it does feel rather strange to me that so many politicians are of an opinion that is backed by only 3% of the world's leading scientists.

Thanks in advance!

//www.hoelymoley.com/questions/12637/-/12638#12638 18 关于气候变化是由人类引起的,地质学家的共识是什么? 大卫Hammen //www.hoelymoley.com/users/239 2017 - 11 - 09 - t15:53:16z 2017 - 11 - 09 - t15:53:16z 首先,更正一下。大多数气候科学家是气候学家而不是气象学家。气候学和气象学虽然相关,但却是截然不同的科学。气象学家和气候学家意见不一致。气象学家对气候变化的共识远不如气候学家之间的共识那么强烈。许多气象学家仍然怀疑人为气候变化。一个关键的问题是,气象学家知道,由于蝴蝶效应,预测一两个星期以上的天气是不可能的。这些知识使他们对气候学家关于50到100年后会发生什么的说法持怀疑态度。当然,气候不是天气。超过一两周的天气无法预测,并不意味着气候不可预测。对于地质学家来说,情况就不同了。他们对事物有长远的眼光,甚至可以说比气候学家的眼光还要长。 The consensus amongst geologists is quite strong. The Geology Society (British) issued a strong statement regarding climate change in 2010 (Climate change: evidence from the geological record) and made this even stronger with an adddendum in 2013. The Geological Society of America conducted informal surveys of its members at annual meetings in 2009 and 2011 (GSA members on climate change: Where, what, and ways forward?) The consensus was quite strong. Of the 181 members who were surveyed, only two "clearly stated they do not believe anything will occur because climate change is not happening". This is in line with the 97% consensus amongst climatologists.

//www.hoelymoley.com/questions/12637/-/23011#23011 3 关于气候变化是由人类引起的,地质学家之间的共识是什么? LazyReader //www.hoelymoley.com/users/21028 2021 - 10 - 19 - t07:49:32z 2021 - 10 - 19 - t07:49:32z

未知,即因为大多数科学家在“地球科学”;江南体育网页版相关光谱主要在公共部门工作,即纳税人资助的研究(博物馆、史密森尼博物馆、各种大学、美国地质调查局等),因此对人类人类学变暖的偏见往往是“耶”。如果你认为情况并不严重,你就拿不到资金。科学,不像宗教,不是一种信仰体系。科学家,就像其他人一样,很容易犯错,也很容易在他们严格保证的事情上犯错。< / p >

The earliest attempt to document a “consensus” on climate change was a old 2004 paper cited by Al Gore in his book, An Inconvenient Truth. (Gore attended natural science class at Harvard, but got D grade). The primary paper that ups the notion of “97% consensus” was written by John Cook and company and was published in 2013. As to how many of them are scientists, the list puts down Profession of science discipline as geology. I don't know.

Consensus is a political/social concept i.e. Majority rules. Consensus is irrelevant in science as history has shown; scientific discovery and introductions did not enjoy relative endorsement by a majority of the community, in fact fought tooth and nail against it...but in the end fought against institutions and were proven right.

  • Galileo (Heliocentrism)
  • Charles Darwin (Biologically derived inheritence/species propagation)
  • Gregor Mendel (acquired characteristics)
  • Einstein (Relativity, Early quantum mechanics
  • Dan Shechtman (Nobel in physics in discovery of quasi-crystals)
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