< p >我觉得你问的输出是来自气候变化<强> < /强>综合评估模型(艾玛)现在你有正确的搜索词,你的追求就会容易得多。< / p > < p >你做正确的事情:从政府间气候变化专门委员会报告。下一步是兑现阅读参考。然后使用谷歌学术搜索或任何适当的学术搜索引擎访问,找到最近的论文也引用了那些IPCC的论文引用。< / p > < p >的< a href = " https://www.jbs.cam.ac.uk/fileadmin/user_upload/research/workingpapers/wp1104.pdf " rel = " nofollow noreferrer " >一个pdf PAGE09 < / >我,一个更新版本的PAGE2002模型用于《斯特恩评估报告》。克里斯希望使他的页面模型可用于其他研究人员,在请求。< / p > < p >的< a href = " https://www.theccc.org.uk/publication/integreted-assessment-modelling/ " rel = " nofollow noreferrer " >英国气候变化委员会报告的艾玛< / > < / p > < p >的< a href = " http://www.lse.ac.uk/GranthamInstitute/tag/integrated-assessment-model/ " rel = " nofollow noreferrer " >伦敦经济学院的网页上艾玛< / >。< / p > < p >和< a href = " http://www.ucl.ac.uk/energy-models/models/tiam-ucl " rel = " nofollow noreferrer " > TIAM我从伦敦大学学院< / >。< / p > < p >谷歌学者声称< a href = " https://scholar.google.co.uk/scholar?as_vis=1&q=%22integrated+assessment+model%22+%22climate+change%22&hl=en&as_sdt=1,5&as_ylo=2014&as_yhi=2019" rel="nofollow noreferrer">3000 results from the last five years on IAMs and climate change. As you can probably imagine, there are uncertainties piled on top of uncertainties in this field. The scholarly work on them nevertheless represents the best available set of expert expectations on the sort of damages we are likely to experience with different increases in the concentrations of greenhouse gases.