最近30从www.hoelymoley.com 2023 - 07 - 10 - t04:34:57z //www.hoelymoley.com/feeds/question/19384 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/rdf //www.hoelymoley.com/q/19384 19 弗雷德里克Conrotte //www.hoelymoley.com/users/19071 2020 - 03 - 05 - t09:23:27z 2020 - 03 - 05 - t22:43:33z

< p >我读IPCC的报告,我知道全球变暖正在发生的,是人为的。< / p > < p >但任何怀疑论者应该做定期,我去了一些气候变化否认者网站和偶然发现这个同行评议的科学论文,发表在《大气和日地物理学”:< / p > < p > < a href = " https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1364682618305030 " rel = " noreferrer " > https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1364682618305030 < / > < / p > < p >纸是来自科斯塔斯Varotsos,希腊物理学家从他的贡献全球气候动力学研究和遥感。< / p > < p >的论文全文是:< a href = " https://sci-hub.tw/https / /doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2018.10.020 " rel = " noreferrer " > https://sci-hub.tw/https / /doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2018.10.020 < / > < / p > < p >太技术对我来说点什么错误可能是纸做的。< / p > < p >我在网上找到的唯一的辩论是一个评论在skepticalscience网站:< a href = " https://skepticalscience.com/news.php?p=3& t = 103,, n = 292 # 131401“rel = " noreferrer " > https://skepticalscience.com/news.php?p=3& t = 103,, n = 292 # 131401 < / > < / p > < p >少有人能翻译,注释术语吗? < / p > < p > < img src = " https://i.stack.imgur.com/dejsY.png " alt = "评论文章" > < / p >

//www.hoelymoley.com/questions/19384/-/19386 # 19386 35 gerrit //www.hoelymoley.com/users/6 2020 - 03 - 05 - t09:50:52z 2020 - 03 - 05 - t22:42:52z

< p >评论说,作者犯了一个错误如下:< / p > < ol > <李>气温上升将会与对流层顶高度的增加有关。李李< / > < >使用仪器/数据集X,我们无法测量对流层顶高度增加。因此,李李< / > < >没有温度升高。< /李> < / ol > < p >这里的谬论是,仪表/数据集X是不适合测量对流层顶高度,因此我们不应该期望它可以测量对流层顶高度增加。< / p > < p >评论指的是< a href = " https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UAH_satellite_temperature_dataset " rel = " noreferrer " >在亨茨维尔阿拉巴马大学温度数据集< / >。这是来自卫星微波温度音响¹。维基百科的文章,这个数据集提供了:< / p > < blockquote > < p > UAH提供数据在三大层面上的气氛。< / p > < ul > <李>低对流层——TLT(原来称为T2LT)。李李< / > < >中期对流层——TMT李< / > <李>低平流层- TLS李< / > < / ul > < /引用> < p > < a href = " https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropopause " rel = " noreferrer " >对流层顶< / >之间的边界是对流层和平流层。它可以以不同的方式定义,但测量对流层顶高度通常需要测量温度对流层顶附近。这显然不是提供的数据集,是不可能使用数据集测量对流层顶高度。< / p > <人力资源/ > < p >¹从个人的经验,我可以告诉你,它是<强> < / >强很难确定长期温度triends从卫星数据。极轨卫星太阳同步轨道体验漂移随着时间的推移,这意味着他们的当地时间升交点变化; in lay terms, this means that when they previously always passed at 14:00 over a certain spot, 2 years later this may be at 16:00. Even if that time wouldn't change, instruments degrade over time and get replaced by new instruments. You need to be very careful to make sure you're detecting a trend in the temperature and not in the instrument itself! I've worked on this in the FIDUCEO project, I was doing infrared temperature sounders and colleagues from Hamburg were doing microwave humidity sounders, but microwave temperature sounders were out of scope because none of us had the depth of expertise needed. Even with the expertise, we underestimated the difficulty of the problem and ran out of time before we could properly declare we had delivered what had been promised to the funding agency, although we learned a lot.

map