< p >一个问题在这里是厄尔尼诺现象(ENSO)在本质上是混乱的。有大量的文献对ENSO的混乱和确定性性质(例如,< a href = " https://www.sciencemag.org/content/264/5155/72.abstract " rel = " noreferrer " > https://www.sciencemag.org/content/264/5155/72.abstract < / >, < a href = " http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/97GL53639/full " rel = " noreferrer " > http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/97GL53639/full < / >)。在混乱的假设下,发布问题可能没有一个明确的回答。< / p >Then there is the fact that ENSO affects the atmospheric-oceanic energy budget. If too much energy is available, then El Niño might happen, but whether it is stronger is unclear.