到底为什么使用希腊字母名称飓风发生,尽管有相当明显的和可预测的导致?- 江南体育网页版- - - - -地球科学堆江南电子竞技平台栈交换 最近30从www.hoelymoley.com 2023 - 07 - 06 - t23:28:11z //www.hoelymoley.com/feeds/question/20484 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/rdf //www.hoelymoley.com/q/20484 3 到底为什么使用希腊字母名称飓风发生,尽管有相当明显的和可预测的导致? uhoh //www.hoelymoley.com/users/6031 2020 - 11 - 18 - t02:57:32z 2020 - 11 - 18 - t21:16:15z 《华盛顿邮报》的文章< p > < a href = " https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/11/17/greek-letter-hurricane-names-retire/ " rel = " nofollow noreferrer " >飓风埃塔和极微小给美洲带来了灾难。官员不能退休,他们的名字。< / >描述一个复杂的情况下,方面是:< / p > < blockquote > < p >埃塔咆哮上岸在尼加拉瓜北部11月3日,紧随其后的是极微小完全13天后,南部15英里。都是4级飓风登陆,虽然极微小达到5级状态离岸。两人带来了洪水灾害在中美洲,除了极端风和风暴潮在海岸附近。< / p > < p >他们的教科书候选人的名字被从飓风中心的六年轮值名单。就像卡特里娜是取代了凯蒂,迈克尔与弥尔顿与莎拉和桑迪,通常会有小问题,致命的和破坏性的4级飓风的名称将会退休。但在希腊字母的情况下,没有简单的替换。< / p > < p > "委员会…认为这是不实际的退休到飓风历史的一封信在希腊字母,“阅读世界气象组织的新闻发布会上,负责在世界海洋飓风命名。< / p > < p >而不是从列表中移除一个字母,希腊字母只能象征性地退休了。在现行政策下,“埃塔2020”和“2020”列为退休风暴如果世界气象组织相应的投票,但埃塔和极微小的名字仍将为未来的风暴在流通。 Some meteorologists fear this defeats the purpose of retiring names, while others find that assigning Greek letters to storms is impractical to begin with.

Question: Why exactly were Greek letters used as names for Hurricanes in the first place, despite the fairly obvious and predictable impracticalities? Certainly this exact problem was brought up, how was it dismissed?

Related but different (because the current question is backward-looking), and also in need of answers:

//www.hoelymoley.com/questions/20484/-/20490 # 20490 5 答案到底是BarocliniCplusplus为什么使用希腊字母作为首先发生飓风的名字,尽管有相当明显的和可预测的导致? BarocliniCplusplus //www.hoelymoley.com/users/704 2020 - 11 - 18 - t21:16:15z 2020 - 11 - 18 - t21:16:15z < p >的一个主要原因,假设是如此众多的飓风季节还很少。宗教上地,热带气旋通常遵循一个< a href = " https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/JZ065i001p00213 " rel = " noreferrer " > < / >泊松分布。英文字母,如果你认为,只有21岁的26个字母用于名称,如果你认为飓风从过去十年的平均数量保持不变,而这十年< a href = " https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlantic_hurricane_season # 2010年代”rel = " noreferrer " > = 15.5(155热带风暴/ 10年每年热带风暴)< / >,然后将在21个热带气旋的概率大约是6.96%。< a href = " https://public.wmo.int/en/media/news/2020-hurricane-season-exhausts-regular-list-of-names " rel = " noreferrer " >这样的观点是支持世界气象组织< / >。

But if you say, "aren't the number of tropical cyclones supposed to increase under climate change?" to challenge my assumption of constant tropical cyclones per decade, I will argue that canonically, the frequency that tropical cyclones form should decrease, but the intensity should increase. So the assumption doesn't actually hold, but should actually overestimate the probability of more hurricanes in the long term.

So why use Greek letters? Well, to be consistent, something has to be used to draw attention to the storm. Cycling back to the A's sends the wrong message. And the Greek alphabet was used previously, without major consequence.

Arguably, it may be easier to only name storms that make hurricane strength. However, that would be inconsistent, and may miss strong, rain-heavy storms. For example, Tropical Storm Allison was retired without making the hurricane wind requirement.

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