< p >我认为东南部热带印度洋< a href = " http://stateoftheocean.osmc.noaa.gov/sur/ind/setio.php " rel = " nofollow noreferrer " > < / > (SETIO)提供了一个更好的提示可能发生什么。它清楚地显示了积极的模式自去年11月。< a href = " https://i.stack.imgur.com/gDUWD.gif " rel = " nofollow noreferrer " > < img src = " https://i.stack.imgur.com/gDUWD.gif " alt = " SETIO NOAA " > < / > < a href = " http://stateoftheocean.osmc.noaa.gov/sur/ind/wtio.php " rel = " nofollow noreferrer " >源< / > < / p > < p >我认为这可能与复苏从2015年强烈的厄尔尼诺现象。如果我记得从< a href = " http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520 - 0442 (2003) 016% 3 c0003: AOVITI % 3 e2.0.co; 2”rel = " nofollow noreferrer " >刘,纳2003 < / >,当你有一个温暖的ENSO,你会得到一个季风强度的降低风速较低,从而导致减少明智的和潜热损失。同时,云量减少,因为干燥条件下,结果在一个更大的比例的短波辐射到达海洋表面。< / p >The WTIO seems pretty normal currently, so it suggest the conditions are mostly eastern Indian Ocean related. The altimetry sea surface height anomaly seems to suggest the currents are counterclockwise in the Bay, so the anomaly seems to be a regional effect.