北大西洋涛动(NAO)未来的预测——学术论文?- 江南体育网页版- - - - -地球科学堆江南电子竞技平台栈交换 最近30从www.hoelymoley.com 2023 - 07 - 10 - t13:06:35z //www.hoelymoley.com/feeds/question/9433 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/rdf //www.hoelymoley.com/q/9433 8 北大西洋涛动(NAO)未来的预测——学术论文? 测试 //www.hoelymoley.com/users/6978 2017 - 01 - 10 - t10:16:10z 2017 - 01 - 11 t14:50:33z < p >我在寻找学术论文展示未来的预测北大西洋涛动(NAO)通过考虑气候变化和各种排放场景。你有什么建议吗? < / p > //www.hoelymoley.com/questions/9433/-/9438 # 9438 8 arkaia回答的北大西洋涛动(NAO)未来的预测——学术论文? arkaia //www.hoelymoley.com/users/111 2017 - 01 - 10 - t15:49:31z 2017 - 01 - 10 - t15:55:40z < p >一个良好的开端是< A href = " https://www.whoi.edu/page.do?pid=83537&tid=3622&cid=54686&c=2" rel="nofollow noreferrer">article by Goodkin et al. (2008) that relates past fluctuations of NAO to climate variability and argues that in the late 20th century NAO changes are much more dramatic as a result of enhanced energy (temperature) in the northern hemisphere.Goodkin et al (Source WHOI)

Visbeck et al. (2001) describe the complex relationship between NAO and climate change associated with greenhouse gases:

Because global average temperatures are dominated by temperature variability over the northern land masses, a significant fraction of the recent warming trend in global surface temperatures can be explained as a response to observed changes in atmospheric circulation. Because the NAO is a natural mode of the atmosphere, one could argue that much of the recent warming is not related to the build-up of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere over the past century. This viewpoint, however, ignores the possibility that anthropogenic climate change might influence modes of natural variability, perhaps making it more likely that one phase of the NAO is preferred over the other.

As for predictions of the future effects cause by emission scenarios, that seems to be an ongoing topic of research. A couple of good starting point might be Yeager et al. (2012) and the book chapter by Hurrell et al. (2013) on the effects of climate change on NAO.

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