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揭穿科学论文”全球变暖已经到了?”

我读了政府间气候变化专门委员会报告,我知道全球变暖正在发生的,是人为的。

但正如任何怀疑论者应该做定期,我去了一些气候变化否认者网站和偶然发现这个同行评议的科学论文,发表在《大气和日地物理学”:

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1364682618305030

本文来自科斯塔斯Varotsos,希腊物理学家从他的贡献全球气候动力学研究和遥感。

论文全文在这里:https://sci-hub.tw/https: / /doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2018.10.020

对我来说太技术点的错误可能是纸做的。

我在网上找到的唯一对此评论它skepticalscience网站:https://skepticalscience.com/news.php?p=3&t=103&&n=292 # 131401

少有人能翻译评论的术语给我吗?

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回答

评论说,作者犯了一个错误如下:1。温度升高将与对流层顶高度的增加有关。2。使用仪器/数据集X,我们无法测量对流层顶高度增加。3所示。因此,没有温度升高。这里的谬论是,仪表/数据集X是不适合测量对流层顶高度,因此我们不应该期望它可以测量对流层顶高度增加。评论指的是(在亨茨维尔阿拉巴马大学温度数据集)(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UAH_satellite_temperature_dataset)。这是来自卫星微波温度音响¹。维基百科的文章,这个数据集提供了:> UAH提供数据在三大层面上的气氛。 > > * The Lower troposphere - TLT (originally called T2LT). > * The mid troposphere - TMT > * The lower stratosphere - TLS The [tropopause](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropopause) is the boundary between troposphere and stratosphere. It can be defined in various ways, but to measure tropopause height you generally need to measure the temperature in the vicinity to the tropopause. As this is apparently not provided by the dataset, it is impossible to use the dataset to measure tropopause height. --- ¹From personal experience, I can tell you that it is **difficult** to determine long-term temperature triends from satellite data. Polar-orbiting satellites in sun-synchronous orbits experience a drift over time, which means that their local time ascending node changes; in lay terms, this means that when they previously always passed at 14:00 over a certain spot, 2 years later this may be at 16:00. Even if that time wouldn't change, instruments degrade over time and get replaced by new instruments. You need to be very careful to make sure you're detecting a trend in the temperature and not in the instrument itself! I've worked on this in the [FIDUCEO project](https://www.fiduceo.eu), I was doing infrared temperature sounders and colleagues from Hamburg were doing microwave humidity sounders, but microwave temperature sounders were out of scope because none of us had the depth of expertise needed. Even with the expertise, we underestimated the difficulty of the problem and ran out of time before we could properly declare we had delivered what had been promised to the funding agency, although we learned a lot.

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