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月球有没有影响地震被创造出来的?(复制)

在新西兰,我们刚刚发生7.5级地震。很多人都说超级月亮引起的。

我怀疑其实超级月亮引起的,但可能导致地震由于其强大的引力?

回答

记住,这个“特殊”“晚上”是只有约0.5%近这个月比上个月,或将在下个月。现在只有0.1%接近了去年的最低(事实上,过去20的最小距离每年只有0.3%变化分隔)使它不那么令人兴奋,不是吗?(数据来源:[timeanddate.com][1]]同样[这][2]文章从space.com表明,晚上的潮流之间的差异和一个典型的满月可能相当小。我当然没有任何问题,这些主题的专家,我希望我们会看到更精确的计算和细节从一个插入这些字段。但至少这一信息表明,* *是可疑的信贷地震的异常接近这个特殊的“晚上”。* *现在做超级月亮,或者,满月一般来说,引起地震吗?我没有在任何这些主题领域的专业知识(你可以看到我的(相关的问题)[3],我碰巧邮报本周早些时候问季节性\温度影响)。但我决定做一个快速粗略的研究,因为它是一个有趣的问题,我也有。应用[EMSC-CSEM][4]地震搜索,我发现7.9级和更大的地震给了我一个良好的管理将使用从数据库(可以追溯到2004年10月)。我没有看潜在的结果在选择集合的大小。却发现这是一个公平的大小加在一起,也至少给一个潜在的味道。 So here are all >= 7.9s in the past 12ish years, as well as their moon phase and earth-moon distance (which appears to vary from about 356500-407000 km, completing 1-2 cycles a year): - Mag | Moon | Moon Dist | Event - 9.3 | 100% | 405266 km | 2004 Indian Ocean Earthquake (12-26-04) - 9.0 | 33.% | 395992 km | 2011 Japan Earthquake (03-11-11) - 8.8 | 97.% | 357971 km | 2010 Chile Earthquake (02-27-10) - 8.6 | 92.% | 380842 km | 2005 Sumatra Earthquake (03-28-05) - 8.4 | 01.% | 400497 km | 2007 Sumatra Earthquake (09-12-07) - 8.4 | 72.% | 368806 km | 2012 Sumatra Earthquake (04-11-12) - 8.3 | 25.% | 405266 km | 2006 Kuril Islands [NE of Japan] Earthquake (11-15-06) - 8.3 | 99.% | 361064 km | 2013 Sea Okhotsk Earthquake [NE of Japan] Earthquake (05-24-13) - 8.3 | 12.% | 404185 km | 2015 Chile Earthquake (09-16-25) - 8.2 | 35.% | 400532 km | 2007 Kuril Islands [NE of Japan] Earthquake (01-13-07) - 8.1 | 99.% | 405537 km | 2007 Solomon Islands Earthquake (04-01-07) - 8.1 | 81.% | 403548 km | 2009 Samoa Islands Earthquake (09-29-09) - 8.1 | 06.% | 381485 km | 2014 Chile Earthquake (04-01-14) - 7.9 | 09.% | 399204 km | 2007 Peru Earthquake (08-15-07) - 7.9 | 51.% | 382561 km | 2008 China Earthquake (05-12-08) - 7.9 | 41.% | 402219 km | 2009 Tonga Earthquake (03-19-09) - 7.9 | 33.% | 395899 km | 2011 Japan Earthquake Aftershock (03-11-11) - 7.9 | 23.% | 365928 km | 2013 Solomon Islands Earthquake (02-06-13) - 7.9 | 12.% | 390858 km | 2014 Alaska (Aleutians) Earthquake (06-23-14) - 7.9 | 98.% | 357791 km | 2016 New Zealand Earthquake (focus of this post) (Moon phases from [USNO][5], distances from [satellite-calculations.com][6]) Breaking it down (after removing the Japan aftershock), seems a bit of a predilection for full moons: (6 of the 19 were 90+% full). And just maybe a slight increase near new moon as well, which would match the way that earlier article described that tides work: (5 of 19 <= 12%). Here's a histogram of the spread [made at [wessa.net][7]]: [![Distribution][8]][8] But it doesn't seem there's as much of a trend in distances: [![Distance and Phase][9]][9] It's almost certainly not enough data to draw a rock solid conclusion, but interesting that it seems hints at favoring full moons. I'm not sure what statistical calculations to do to prove it... the mean is only 51%, so it'd need more than just a mean test to prove that it's bi-modal (favoring full/new moons). But this quick look certainly seems to suggest at least that there isn't obvious trends in earth-moon distance impacting earthquakes (R^2 = 0.14). The real connections may be much more complex (varying by location\geology, only affecting certain types of earthquakes, more significant for weaker earthquakes, etc). But hopefully this try using big data from about the last decade is at least a help! Hope the cleanup goes well AnonDCX! [1]: https://www.timeanddate.com/astronomy/moon/distance.html [2]: http://www.space.com/21660-supermoon-rises-sunday-full-moon.html [3]: //www.hoelymoley.com/questions/9080/are-there-any-seasonal-or-diurnal-trends-in-earthquakes [4]: http://www.emsc-csem.org/ [5]: http://aa.usno.navy.mil/data/docs/MoonFraction.php [6]: http://www.satellite-calculations.com/Satellite/suncalc.htm [7]: http://www.wessa.net/rwasp_histogram.wasp [8]: https://i.stack.imgur.com/GMQpn.png [9]: https://i.stack.imgur.com/Xe7LM.png

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