* *是的。人类活动可能引起火山爆发,尽管是间接的。无论如何,人类活动影响火山灾害在其他几个方面。* *首先,让我们来看看人类如何会引起火山爆发。# #人类影响气候和气候影响火山最近Kutterolf et al。(2012)显示,气候影响火山爆发的频率,主要通过全球海平面变化和均衡效果。冰卸载也可以触发在冰岛火山喷发,所研究的Sigmundsson et al。(2010)。如此看来极有可能,人类造成的气候变化将影响火山爆发的频率,尽管(据一位科学家)(http://www.livescience.com/25936-climate-change-causes-volcanism.html): >我们预测有时滞大约2500年,”(作者)Jegen说。“即使我们改变气候,你不会真的期待任何发生在接下来的几千年。”The lead author [adds](http://phys.org/news/2012-12-ice-earth-spews-link-climate.html): > The impact from man-made warming is still unclear based on our current understanding. Clearly this climate cause is rather indirect. And certainly the extent to which it's an issue today is open to debate. As you suggest, there may be some others causes. But, either way... ### Humans affect disasters even if they don't _cause_ them Humans can contribute to disasters in other ways than being the root cause of the natural phenomenon. They are relevant to how natural phenomena affect humans; if they don't affect humans, we don't call them 'disasters'. Think about things like the following: - How we educate people about natural hazards that might affect them. - How we design early warning and emergency response systems. - Where we choose to build our dwellings. - Where we build transportation and other support systems. - How we manage forests and farming. Read about hazard evaluation, monitoring, and avoidance, for example around famous [recent eruptions](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_volcanic_eruptions_by_death_toll). Some of these, such as Montserrat, are especially well studied. [This BGS page](http://www.bgs.ac.uk/discoveringGeology/hazards/volcanoes/montserrat/home.html) has some more info on that volcano. ### A couple more things Humans almost certainly had something to do with a **mud** volcano eruption, which displaced thousands of people in Indonesia in 2006: the Lumpur Lapindo eruption, which is coming up on its 10th anniversary. Read [my article](http://www.agilegeoscience.com/blog/2014/5/28/lusis-8th-birthday.html) from it's 8th birthday.. If you want to _start_ an eruption, [Erik Klemetti](https://twitter.com/eruptionsblog) (a legit vulcanologist) [has some tips](http://www.wired.com/2012/04/could-people-trigger-a-volcanic-eruption-on-purpose/). **Reference** Kutterolf, S., M. Jegen, J. X. Mitrovica, T. Kwasnitschka, A. Freundt, P. J. Huybers (2012): A detection of Milankovitch frequencies in global volcanic activity. _Geology_, G33419.1, [DOI 10.1130/G33419.1](http://dx.doi.org/10.1130/G33419.1). [Read more.](http://phys.org/news/2012-12-ice-earth-spews-link-climate.html) Sigmundsson, Freysteinn, Virginie Pinel, Björn Lund, Fabien Albino, Carolina Pagli, Halldór Geirsson, Erik Sturkell (2010). Climate effects on volcanism: influence on magmatic systems of loading and unloading from ice mass variations, with examples from Iceland. _Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A_ 2010 **368** 2519-2534; DOI: [10.1098/rsta.2010.0042](http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0042).